The 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-finals are locked in. England will face Argentina on July 15 in Atlanta, while France meets Spain in the Dallas area.

Polymarket’s World Cup winner contract has exceeded $3.9 billion in total volume as of early July. To put that in perspective, that’s more than the GDP of several small nations, all wagered on which country’s 11 best athletes can put a ball into a net more often than the other side’s.

Combined trading across multiple prediction platforms has pushed the total even higher, though Polymarket’s contract remains the dominant venue.

Kraken has been named the official crypto exchange supporter for the 2026 tournament in North America and Europe, giving the exchange…