Wintermute Calls End of Four-Year Crypto Cycle, Flags 2026 Triggers


Wintermute says the four-year crypto cycle is over, with institutional capital flows now shaping market performance.

The familiar four-year boom-and-bust pattern in cryptocurrency may have ended, according to trading firm Wintermute.

In a recent analysis, the firm argued that market performance is now dictated by institutional capital flows rather than historical narratives tied to Bitcoin’s halving events.

This shift means a broad market recovery in 2026 is not guaranteed and hinges on specific catalysts that can redirect concentrated liquidity.

A New Market Structure Takes Hold

Wintermute’s assessment stated that the “four-year cycle is dead.” The firm bases…

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