Key Takeaways for Vistra Corp. Stock as of August 2026

• Year Slide: Vistra stock has fallen 26.8% over the past year, dropping from the low $200s in August 2025 to $148.13 as ERCOT forward power prices softened and Q2 hedging losses hit reported earnings.
• Hedging Hit: Q2 net income fell 6.7% YoY to $305M even as adjusted EBITDA jumped 31% to Street.77B, because $472M in unrealized mark-to-market losses on future hedges masked otherwise record operating results.
• Street Split: Coverage stands at 19 analysts, split 15 buys, 4 outperforms, 1 underperform, and 1 sell, with the $221.58 mean target sitting roughly 50% above the current price.
• Model Gap: TIKR’s mid-case model targets $180.27 by late 2030, implying 21.7% total…