## Market Snapshot

Iran’s enriched uranium surrender market shows a 0.1% YES pricing for April 30, 2026, a decrease from 5% a week ago. Bitcoin’s pricing for being above $86,000 on April 30 remains at 100% YES. The market for the U.S. obtaining Iranian enriched uranium by May 31 shows an 8.5% YES probability.

## Key Takeaways

– The U.S. Treasury’s seizure of $500 million in Iranian crypto appears consistent with increased economic pressure, suggesting lower likelihood of Iran surrendering enriched uranium. – Bitcoin market pricing remains unaffected, with a 100% YES probability for reaching above $86,000 on April 30, indicating minimal perceived impact from the crypto seizure. – Seizure underlines…