The fourth quarter of 2026 brings the crypto market no single big decision but a chain of around a dozen dates, all of which act on the same three things: on the circulating supply of individual tokens, on rate expectations and on your tax obligations. The key dates before New Year’s Eve are October 2 (unlock at DoubleZero), October 5 (final unlock at Ethena), October 9 (activation window of the Batch amendment on the XRP Ledger), October 27 and 28 as well as December 8 and 9 (meetings of the Federal Reserve’s open market committee), November 3 (US midterm elections) and December 31 (end of the first reporting year under the German Crypto Asset Tax Transparency Act).

This overview places each date: what happens on the day, how large…