Comments on Carlsmith’s “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”
Published on November 13, 2021 4:29 AM GMTThe following are some comments I gave on Open Philanthropy Senior Research Analyst…
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Matt Levine spots IRL Paperclip Maximizer in Reddit
Published on September 23, 2021 7:10 PM GMTMatt Levine is the author of regular column “Money Stuff” on Bloomberg, and he seems…
Review: Foragers, Farmers, and Fossil Fuels
Published on September 2, 2021 5:59 PM GMTTwo hundred years ago, most people lived in societies that considered slavery, war,…
Cryonics prices were more complicated when I double-clicked
Published on August 23, 2021 1:26 AM GMTI know there are a few folks signed up for cryonics on LessWrong. At time of writing,…
In Most Markets, Lower Risk Means Higher Reward
Published on August 13, 2021 5:21 PM GMTThe age old adage that high risk is associated with high expected return has not been…
Technical Predictions Related to AI Safety
Published on August 13, 2021 12:29 AM GMTIf you want to create a policy of nuclear safety then you need to understand:Manufacturing…
Lifepool
Published on August 5, 2021 2:22 PM GMTI think that a crowd-funded prize should be created that will be released to:The first…
Summary and Notes from ‘The Signal and the Noise’
Published on July 18, 2021 10:05 PM GMTThis is a compressed version of a blog post I wrote on my personal website. The Signal…
Maybe Antivirals aren’t a Useful Priority for Pandemics?
Published on June 20, 2021 10:04 AM GMTEpistemic status: Building a better gears-level understanding of why antivirals don’t…
Changing my life in 2021, halfway through
Published on June 10, 2021 1:36 AM GMTThis year I decided to really try and fix some major parts of my life I have been neglecting….