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SanDisk Earnings: Lowering Fair Value Estimate; Decelerating Price Growth Is a Bad Omen

SanDisk Earnings: Lowering Fair Value Estimate; Decelerating Price Growth Is a Bad Omen

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Key Morningstar Metrics for SanDisk

  • : $870.00
  • : ★★
  • Morningstar Economic Moat Rating

    : None

  • Morningstar Uncertainty Rating

    : Very High

What We Thought of SanDisk’s Earnings

SanDisk’s SNDK September-quarter results were again exceptional and above guidance. Sales rose 378% year on year to $11 billion, while non-GAAP gross margin rose 55 points year on year to 85%. December-quarter guidance implies further improvement and year-on-year growth again above 300%.

Why it matters: Sky-high pricing continues to drive results, but it looks to be decelerating sequentially. To us, this indicates a pricing peak is on the horizon, in line with our thesis. Pricing is decelerating earlier and more quickly than we…

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