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Prediction Markets Don’t Just Forecast Power

Prediction Markets Don’t Just Forecast Power

Welcome to our institutional newsletter, Crypto Long & Short. This week:

  • Ryan Kirkley on how crypto prediction markets can risk incentivizing manipulation and amplify misinformation at scale.
  • Top headlines institutions should pay attention to by Francisco Rodrigues.
  • Geodnet decoupling suggests fundamental re-rating in Chart of the Week.

Thanks for joining us!

-Alexandra Levis


Expert Insights

Prediction Markets Don’t Just Forecast Power – They Reshape It

By Ryan Kirkley, Co-Founder and CEO of Global Settlement Network

Prediction markets are often pitched as neutral forecasting tools: efficient ways to aggregate information and convert collective belief into a price. That case is not entirely wrong. The academic literature has long found that

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