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Oracle Price Prediction: Can Its $638 Billion Backlog Send The Stock Back Toward $250?

Oracle Price Prediction: Can Its $638 Billion Backlog Send The Stock Back Toward $250?

Oracle Price Prediction: Can Its $638 Billion Backlog Send The Stock Back Toward $250?

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Oracle’s (NYSE:ORCL | ORCL Price Prediction) remaining performance obligations vaulted to $638 billion in Q4 FY2026, an unprecedented backlog that reframes the investment case. Yet the stock trades nowhere near its prior highs, creating a sharp divergence between fundamentals and price.

Oracle closed at $146.65 on August 17, 2026. Our 24/7 Wall St. price target for Oracle is $213.38, implying 45.5% upside over the next 12 months. Our model output favors accumulation, with a confidence level of 90%.

The $250 level referenced in bull commentary sits close to the Wall Street consensus target of $246.43, a reach case rather than our base case.


An infographic titled 'ORACLE (NYSE: ORCL) 12-Month Price Prediction' with a 'BUY' recommendation. The main section shows a current price of $146.65 increasing to a predicted price of $213.38, indicating an Upside of +45.5% with High Confidence: 90%. A section 'HOW WE GOT THERE' lists Trailing P/E-Based Price: $146.65, Forward P/E-Based Price: $173.16, Analyst Consensus Target: $246.43, and a Weighted Base of $189.84. 'OUR ADJUSTMENTS' displays a waterfall chart starting at Base Price $146.65, adding adjustments for Analyst Consensus (+$0.049), Earnings Growth (+$0.022), Sector Momentum (+$1.15), and subtracting for Volatility (-$0.014), Social Sentiment (-$0.009), Market Cap Dampening (-$0.5), to arrive at a Final Target of $213.38. The 'BULL CASE: What Could Go Right' section in green lists Record $638B RPO Backlog, 93% Cloud IaaS Revenue Growth (Q4 FY26), and FY27 Revenue Guidance $90B, with a target of $350.13 if backlog delivers. The 'BEAR CASE: What Could Go Wrong' section in red lists Negative Free Cash Flow (-$23.7B in FY26), High Capex ($55.7B in FY26), and Rising Non-Current Debt ($124.7B), with a target of $180.28 if risks materialize. The 'THE BOTTOM LINE' section reiterates 'BUY $213.38 (+45.5%)' and summarizes the rationale: Massive $638 billion backlog drives upside potential, supported by accelerating cloud growth despite current valuation divergence. The 24/7 Wall St. logo is at the top and bottom.

24/7 Wall…

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