Key Takeaways

• Nvidia stock is up 13.4% this year to $214.13 as of October 16, even after Q2 revenue more than doubled to $96 billion.
• The mean Street target of $328.72 sits 53.5% above the close; 49 analysts rate the stock a Buy, 10 an Outperform, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell, with 1 No Opinion.
• My model lands at $436.49 by January 2031, a 103.8% total return, or 18.0% a year.
• Q3 results land November 17, against a $108 billion revenue guide.

NVIDIA (NVDA) stock is up 13.4% since early January, closing at $214.13 on October 16, after a $96.2 billion second quarter and a guide for about 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028.

Nvidia stock hit its 2026 closing high of $239.24 on…