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Mojtaba Khamenei may have been appointed Iran’s Supreme Leader only days ago, but cryptocurrency bettors are already wagering on how soon he might exit.

Prediction market Polymarket, based on Polygon, shows a 64% probability that Mojtaba Khamenei is removed, detained, or blocked from acting as Iran’s Supreme Leader before year‑end, with 38% odds of this happening by April 30.

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Over $2 million has been wagered on the outcome and an official announcement of his resignation or removal would suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

Notably, a similar bet regarding his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who…