How Can Random Walk Theory Be Applied to Investing?

The random walk theory maintains that individual stocks do not move in any discernible pattern. Therefore, their short-term future movements cannot be predicted in advance.

Since the market indexes overall tend to rise over the long term, random walk theory would indicate that investing in a passively managed diversified index fund is the safest and most profitable investing strategy.

Key Takeaways

  • Random walk theory maintains that the movements of stocks are utterly unpredictable, lacking any pattern that can be exploited by an investor.
  • This is in direct opposition to technical analysis, which seeks to identify patterns in price and volume to buy and sell stock at the right time.
  • Random walk theory also dismisses fundamental…

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