Prediction market participants are assigning low odds to $XRP reaching a new all-time high in 2026, amid the cryptocurrency’s struggle to establish a sustained move above the $1 mark.

Data from a Polymarket contract titled “$XRP all time high by ___?” shows traders currently assign a 7% probability that the asset will set a new record price by December 31, 2026.

The odds are even lower for an earlier breakout, with the September 30, 2026 contract implying just a 1% chance of a new high.

The market’s skepticism comes as $XRP remains below its all-time high of $3.84, reached in January 2018.

The latest probabilities also represent a sharp decline in sentiment. To this end, the…