Crypto funds pulled in $1.4 billion in weekly inflows, and the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin being above $62,000 on April 17 now sits at 100% YES, up from 98% a week ago.

The inflows coincide with easing geopolitical tensions. The April 14 market for Bitcoin above $58,000 is also at 100% YES. Recent ceasefire talks between the US and Iran have reduced the perceived threat of energy disruptions, which appears to be feeding risk appetite.

The April 17 market moved from 98% to 100% YES. The term structure across these contracts shows no deviation, with consistent pricing across near-term Bitcoin markets.

Daily trading volume is $7,996 in actual USDC. Order book depth suggests it would take significant capital to…