Crypto funds took in $1.4 billion, with Bitcoin products accounting for $1.12 billion (including $1 billion from US spot ETFs), and the Polymarket question on whether Bitcoin will dip to $60,000 in April now trades at 100% YES for the April 13 $74K milestone. Bitcoin is trading near $78,000, its highest level since early February.

Market reaction

The April 13, 14, and 15 markets all sit at 100% YES, with identical term structure across those dates. Traders are pricing in near-certainty that Bitcoin holds above $74K through mid-April. The consistency across these contracts points to firm conviction rather than speculative noise.

Why it matters

Volume data shows zero face value traded in the last 24 hours for the…