Crypto analyst Bitcoin Boy, who posts on X under the handle @btcbox123, has put a $30 price target on XRP and pushed back against the far more aggressive forecasts circulating in the digital-asset community, including calls for $400 and even $1,000.

“I don’t think XRP will hit $400 either, but I do think $30 is pretty realistic,” the analyst wrote to his followers on Nov. 1.

The call lands at a moment when XRP is trading near $1.24. Reaching $30 from that level would require a gain of more than 2,300%, a move the analyst frames not as speculation but as a reading of a chart structure that has held for more than a decade.

The channel behind the number

The thesis rests on XRP’s weekly chart. Since 2014, the token has traded inside a…