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CLARITY Act Odds Plunge From 82% to 13%

CLARITY Act Odds Plunge From 82% to 13%


9h05 ▪
5
min read ▪ by
Ariela R.

Summarize this article with:

The Clarity Act has never been closer to a vote. The US Senate must decide on September 15. However, it is going through unprecedented turbulence. Indeed, prediction markets now give this crypto-assets regulation bill only slim chances of adoption. On Polymarket, the probability of success dropped from 82% in February to only 13% on August 3, 2026. Enough to raise concerns!

A U.S. lawmaker outside the Capitol tries to hold back a crypto bill as its chances of passing fall to 13%A U.S. lawmaker outside the Capitol tries to hold back a crypto bill as its chances of passing fall to 13%

In brief

  • Polymarket now gives the Clarity Act only a 13% chance of being adopted in…

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