The Trades That Happened Before the News Did:

On February 28, 2026, the U.S. and Israel struck Iran in a targeted attack that killed their supreme leader Ali Khamenei (“Khamenei”). Within hours, the prediction markets, specifically Polymarket, was reporting over $529 million in trading volume on its “US Strikes Iran” contract — one of the biggest single markets the platform has ever seen.

According to multiple news reports, Blockchain analytics firm Bubblemaps flagged six newly created accounts that walked away with roughly $1 million in combined profit by specifically betting on the February 28th window. Most accounts were funded within 24 hours of the attack. One account turned a $61,000 stake into a profit of over $493,000. A…