Intel’s stock has staged one of the most dramatic comebacks in big tech this year. After being left for dead in the AI race, Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) has doubled in 2025 as investors warm to a sweeping turnaround plan, a 9.9% U.S. government equity stake, and fresh partnerships with Nvidia, SoftBank – and potentially even Apple. ^[1]

With the share price recently around $40.56 after a Black Friday surge of more than 10%, the obvious question for investors is: where could Intel’s stock be trading by 2026? ^[2]

This article pulls together the latest news, analyst targets and algorithmic forecasts to outline a grounded, data-backed Intel stock price forecast for 2026 – and the key risks that could make or break that outlook.

Important: This…