Equities and technology bets are still recovering from Friday. Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3, a Chinese open-weight model that took the top spot in a widely watched coding benchmark, triggered a semiconductor selloff that dragged crypto down with it to close last week.

The aftershock ran through Asia on Monday, with South Korea’s Kospi falling 3.5% as traders returned from their own holiday. U.S. futures steadied, with the Nasdaq 100 up 0.5%, but the question the release raised has not gone away.

For crypto the two forces roughly cancel. War-driven oil is inflationary, which is bad for risk assets and for the case that the Federal Reserve holds rates steady. Meanwhile, a Chinese model undercutting the AI trade pressures the chip stocks that…