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Stock market after midterm elections: S&P 500 history

Stock market after midterm elections: S&P 500 history

How the midterm elections could affect tech, health care and defense companies

Markets are sweating it out ahead of the midterm elections, but the event historically heralds strong performance for stocks — regardless of whether it’s a red or blue wave, split decision, or status quo in Washington.

Follow CNBC’s live coverage of the 2026 midterm elections

The S&P 500 tends to perform well after both midterm and presidential elections. According to a CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns after elections from 1980 through 2024, the index rose an average of 0.2% after one day and one week, and 1.1% after one month across both presidential and midterm elections.

A year later, the index gained an average of 13.7% after midterms and 13.8% after presidential elections. Returns were positive in 91% of cases. And the S&P 500 was…

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