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The Clarity Act has never been closer to a vote. The US Senate must decide on September 15. However, it is going through unprecedented turbulence. Indeed, prediction markets now give this crypto-assets regulation bill only slim chances of adoption. On Polymarket, the probability of success dropped from 82% in February to only 13% on August 3, 2026. Enough to raise concerns!


In brief
- Polymarket now gives the Clarity Act only a 13% chance of being adopted in…







