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Cryptocurrency bettors have dialed back hopes about Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) reaching $100,000 in 2026, even as SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci remains optimistic about the asset reclaiming that key milestone.

Prediction Market Skeptical About $100,000

Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket currently assigns only an 8% chance of Bitcoin topping $100,000 before Dec. 31, down from a peak of 92% in January, and 50% in May.

In fact, punters are pricing in less than a 15% chance of Bitcoin hitting $90,000 this year, and only a 31% chance of it topping $80,000.