Wintermute has entered prediction markets as a liquidity provider, bringing professional market-making capacity to a sector that has grown into a major venue for trading real-world event risk.
Summary
- Wintermute will provide two-sided liquidity across prediction market platforms, helping improve execution depth and bid-ask spreads.
- Prediction markets surpassed $60 billion in trading volume in 2026, with monthly activity reaching $20-$25 billion.
- Kalshi’s rapid growth and recent $22 billion valuation show rising institutional interest, while regulators increase scrutiny of event contracts.
Wintermute said the firm will quote both buy and sell prices across active…






