Crypto thefts in 2025 reached $3.4 billion, driven by state actors and mega-hacks. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 0% YES, while Bitcoin above $62,000 on April 17 trades at
Market reaction
The Bitcoin-to-$60K April contract is inactive, with no meaningful volume. The $62K contract has held at 100% YES since last week. Traders are pricing in no contagion from the theft news to Bitcoin’s near-term price.
Why it matters
North Korean hackers accounted for 60% of the $3.4 billion in thefts. That concentration could trigger tighter regulatory action on exchanges and custody providers. But the prediction markets show zero movement toward a bearish Bitcoin outlook so…
