Despite peace talks falling apart this weekend, cryptocurrency punters don’t see high chances of the two-week U.S.–Iran ceasefire ending just yet.

Polygon-based Polymarket assigned a 42% possibility that the temporary ceasefire would end on April 21, exactly 14 days after President Donald Trump announced it. The odds have increased by six percentage points over the week.

The likelihood of the ceasefire ending by April 18, before the full two-week duration, was estimated at 30%.

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More than $2 million has been wagered on the outcome, and the market will resolve to “Yes” if Trump, the federal government, or the U.S. military officially announces that the ceasefire is no longer in effect.