Crypto platforms are opening access to real-world assets like tokenized Treasury funds, commodities, and equities, and traders are repricing Bitcoin accordingly. The odds for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by December 31, 2026, are at 37.5% YES, up from 30% a week ago.

Market reaction

The Bitcoin $100,000 market has climbed steadily, with $1,776 in daily USDC volume and a significant move requiring $10,824. The Bitcoin $150,000 market sits at 9.5% YES, roughly flat over the past week. The gap between the two contracts suggests traders see a reasonable path to six figures but remain skeptical about a move 50% beyond that.

Why it matters

Tokenization of real-world assets is pulling traditional market participants into…