The final week of March is shaping up to be a volatile one, with the FTX Recovery Trust set to distribute $2.2 billion to creditors on Tuesday and the key U.S. monthly nonfarm payrolls statistic due Friday, when many equity markets worldwide will be closed for Good Friday.

The war in the Middle East, now in its fifth week, is also critical. The conflict has disrupted major energy infrastructure and transport in the region, in turn leading to higher inflation expectations and a meaningful shift in monetary policy expectations, Luke Deans, a senior research associate at Bitwise, told CoinDesk.

“Bitcoin, a highly reflexive and liquidity-sensitive asset, typically responds earlier to shifts in risk appetite and has repriced lower since…