The Catalysts That Will Decide Everything — TradingView News
A widely followed macro roadmap circulating on X early Friday, November 7, sets an explicit sequence of policy and market triggers that could define crypto’s trajectory into December—and frame positioning into 2026. The thread, posted by macro analyst Alex Krüger is unambiguous about the immediate constraint: “cautious stance until [the government shutdown is] resolved.” It is equally explicit about the upside if Washington finds a path forward, calling the shutdown’s resolution “bullish” for risk assets and saying for bitcoin to “Expect BTC +5% or more within 48 hours of deal.”
The near-term hinge, in other words, is binary. A shutdown that lingers keeps risk pared back; a deal, by contrast, opens the door to what the…
