Polymarket CEO Shayne Copland: Who is he?

Presidential elections elevate new faces to the national stage. That includes the candidates, of course, but also figures like CNN’s John King or stats guru Nate Silver who have taken on a special oracle status each election. In 2024, the latest to join their ranks is Shayne Coplan, a shaggy-haired 26-year-old whose site Polymarket has become a fixture of political news and whose boosters claim it offers the most accurate signal of the election’s outcome.

Final ballots will be cast on Nov. 5, but Coplan’s site—which is a prediction market that invites users to bet money on a given outcome—has already foreshadowed some major developments in the election. Those include Polymarket predicting President Joe Biden dropping out…

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