The Crypto Betting Platform Predicting a Trump Win
The Web site Polymarket is something like a stock exchange for current events. The platform allows users to place bets on future outcomes ranging from who will win the Presidential election to how the Federal Reserve will shift interest rates to whether Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce will break up this year. (Regarding the last matter, “yes” is currently trading at seven cents, representing seven-per-cent odds—unlikely.) In early October, Polymarket had Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tied at just under fifty per cent each, with the remaining fraction of a point going to tiny extant bets on figures including Joe Biden and “Other Republican Politician.” As of this week, Trump is at sixty-four per cent. If you bet on Trump now and…
