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How Can Random Walk Theory Be Applied to Investing?

How Can Random Walk Theory Be Applied to Investing?

The random walk theory maintains that individual stocks do not move in any discernible pattern. Therefore, their short-term future movements cannot be predicted in advance.

Since the market indexes overall tend to rise over the long term, random walk theory would indicate that investing in a passively managed diversified index fund is the safest and most profitable investing strategy.

Key Takeaways

  • Random walk theory maintains that the movements of stocks are utterly unpredictable, lacking any pattern that can be exploited by an investor.
  • This is in direct opposition to technical analysis, which seeks to identify patterns in price and volume to buy and sell stock at the right time.
  • Random walk theory also dismisses fundamental…

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